Thursday, December 31, 2009
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
A Rogue Woman --Not A Truthful One
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
How It Should Be
Sunday, December 27, 2009
Health Bill Compromise Stirs Controversy
Sally Q. Yates; New U.S. Attorney
Saturday, December 26, 2009
LEARN FROM THE PAST—ARM THE AFGHANS[1]
President Obama’s long awaited strategy for Afghanistan rests on three premises: That victory in Afghanistan is fundamental to U.S. National Security because we must deprive Al Qaeda of that operating base; that defeating the Taliban requires a significant build-up of U.S. Forces; and that in addition to establishing security, the U.S. must create good governance by “fixing” the government in Kabul, making it more effective, less corrupt and able to extend its influence into the provinces. All three premises are incorrect.
Defeating Al Qaeda is not matter of geography and driving its leaders out of Afghanistan, assuming we can, will not make us safe. To think otherwise means to not understand asymmetrical warfare. This is a large and messy planet; there will always be some chaotic corner where terrorists can set up camp. Their message has to stop resonating, potential recruits have to lose interest, communities have to turn against them, and their ideology has to fade into obscurity. That, and not control of geographic terrain is what being safe looks like.
Now, it is true that allowing a Taliban resurgence under our very noses damages our credibility as a superpower and boosts the reputation of Al Qaeda. It is also a tragedy for the Afghans and unfair in light of our promises to them - not that fairness has often been a dominating principle of world history. Nonetheless, if this outcome can be prevented, it should.
The terrible, almost inexplicable irony of our current dilemma is that we know exactly how to win wars in Afghanistan, having done it successfully twice before. In the 1990's, the United States helped the mujahedeen defeat the vastly superior Soviet Union. In 2002, we used the Northern Alliance ground troops to overthrow the Taliban.
In both instances, the odds were hugely against success, but we succeeded anyway, because we had the formula right. We taught a ragtag band of illiterate warriors how to use Stinger missiles, and they defeated the Soviet superpower. We partnered with the Northern Alliance, a nearly defeated militia that had been driven out of city after city by the victorious Taliban, had just lost its charismatic leader to Taliban assassins, and was crouched in its final mountain stronghold. Within weeks, they turned things around and won back their country.
In both instances, the U.S. provided weapons, information, logistical help and air support, but avoided putting our troops on the ground. The way to win in Afghanistan is to let the Afghans do the fighting. They understand the terrain, they grasp the subtleties and nuances of local alliances and power structures, and they have ample supplies of fighting-age young males and a centuries-old warrior culture. They don't need our 18- and 19-year olds; they don't even need training.
The U.S. knew that in 1990 and we knew it in 2002. What can have happened to make us forget? This time around, we have taken it into our heads to stand up an Afghan National Army, complete with uniforms and rank insignia and barracks. And while we ever so slowly try to coax the Afghans into that alien format, we are forcing our own soldiers to go boots on the ground in an environment equally alien to them.
This makes no sense. We are dealing with an insurgency combined with an asymmetric terrorist threat, located in a pre-industrial country in Islamic Asia. Why would we fight this conflict as though it were an 18th century conventional European war with a little bit of Vietnamese counterinsurgency sprinkled over the top?
As President Obama has ordered 30,000 more troops into Afghanistan, it is worth re-examining the Soviet experience there. The Soviets had two goals. First, they wanted to spread socialism, whose message of social justice they believed should resonate in that feudal, oppressive, immensely poor society. And by the way, many Soviets felt that this goal was too ambitious, that it was not the job of their country to force social progress on a people who were not ready, who they were too underdeveloped and uneducated to be able to grasp the concept. Second, the Soviets wanted to prevent Afghanistan from becoming a stronghold controlled by their Cold War adversaries.
At first, things went well. Moscow helped put in place a friendly government. Over time, however, the Soviets grew increasingly disillusioned with their efforts, frustrated by the government's poor performance, growing unpopularity and high levels of corruption.
Did someone say 2009? Drug trade, warlords, incompetence, nepotism, election fraud? Omit the names and dates, and the Politburo discussions about Afghanistan are eerily identical to those that reportedly preceded Obama's decision to send more troops.
The Kremlin's own documents reveal its reluctance to send soldiers to Afghanistan in ever-increasing numbers. But the Politburo concluded that this was the only way to turn a bad situation around. And, they thought, it was essential to gain the trust and support of the population, and therefore development programs were required, a parallel to today's civilian surge. But because they had the formula wrong, that investment did not turn the tide for them.
Politburo sessions reflected growing frustration at the slowness of the buildup of the Afghan army, its poor performance, and gradually, with horrible inevitability, the conclusion that more Russian troops had to be sent if the situation was not to be lost entirely.
Our biggest challenge is to stay on the right side of this analogy. We need to be on the side of the Afghan people, aiding them in their desire for freedom and progress, but not running their country or fighting their battles. The Taliban are wildly unpopular with the Afghan people - just as the Soviets were. Defeating them is the job of the Afghans. We can advise them, support them, rally behind them, fund them, equip them, arm them and train them. As we did in the 1980's, we can build up an Afghan people's force of new freedom fighters.
The Afghan police and national army, as instruments of a barely credible central government and plagued by their own deep issues of ethnicity, corruption and inefficiency, can continue to train up at their snail's pace. But they cannot be the heart of the effort.
It is common knowledge that the Kabul government has been a huge disappointment. Corruption, election fraud and incompetence have been the hallmarks of its performance, and the current U.S. thinking is that a large civilian effort must be expended to turn this around before we can leave.
However, the poor results to date are not a reflection of a previous lack of trying. The Karzai government has received unprecedented multinational goodwill and money, and endless numbers of NGOs and international organizations have provided training, mentoring, money and other support to Afghan ministries and institutions.
Does anyone really believe that we can reconfigure Afghanistan's non-functioning justice system, its drug trade, nepotism and corruption in 18 months, when the previous eight years have achieved so little? Especially when strong vested interests on the Afghan side will struggle to hold onto their ill-gotten privileges?
Here again, the U.S. is failing to recognize what actually works in Afghanistan. The surprising truth is that our presence and our efforts have achieved huge success - just not in Kabul, and not with the official institutions. Rather, the infusion of international ideas and money has inspired a vibrant culture of local self-government.
An entirely new civil society has sprouted all over Afghanistan, comprised of elected village councils, cultural organizations, media initiatives, bloggers' clubs, poets' associations, private colleges, professional associations and much more. These groups are committed to ending corruption, building a non-ethnic national identity, and establishing rational and good governance on the ground where they live. Instead of noticing, assessing, and engaging with these, our natural allies, we've got our poor soldiers running around the countryside looking for "tribal leaders" to bribe.
Success is not far from reach in Afghanistan; but we seem unable to see it.
Afghanistan, the graveyard of empires? Maybe - but only if the United States offers an imperial presence. During the Cold War, we were perfectly happy to watch the Soviet Union do exactly that, and bleed itself out in the Hindukush. What bitter irony if the U.S. falls into the same trap we helped bait those many decades ago.
PLEASE NOTE THAT PRESIDENT BUSH, SURELY ONE OF THE MOST QUALIFIED “WAR-TIMES” COMMANDERS IN CHIEF BELIEVED DEEPLY IN THE ABOVE OUTLINED STRATEGY AS A WAY OF DEALING WITH THE SOVIET UNION’S PRESENCE IN AFGHANISTAN.
[1] Research for this article provided by: Cheryl Benard; Director of the Alternative Strategies Institute
Friday, December 25, 2009
A Meaningful Bible Verse
“A MOST MEANINGFUL CHAPTER IN THE BIBLE”[1]
GENESIS, CHAPTER 1, VERSE 26, “Then God said, ‘Let us make man in our image, in our likeness, and let them rule over the fish of the sea and the birds of the air, over the livestock, over all the earth, and over all the creatures that move along the ground.’
Verse 27: “So God created man in his own image. In the image of God he created him; male and female, he created them.”
The basic beliefs of Judaism and Christianity, begin with the acknowledgement that God is our creator, and that He created us in His image. Human beings are made in God’s image they are worthy of honor and respect; they are neither to be murdered nor cursed. “Image” includes such characteristics as righteousness, holiness, and knowledge. Christians further believe that they are to be conformed to the “likeness” of Christ and will someday be like Him.
Our Responsibility. We are the climax of God’s creativity; we have been honored to play an exalted role in the creation. We must care for God’s environment but in such a way as to insure the health and welfare of man. In the Central Valley of California, secular environmentalists have succeeded in overcoming God’s words as to the importance of mankind.
California is in its third year of drought, and many farmers in the state's crop-rich Central Valley are looking at dusty fields, or worse, are cutting down their orchards before the trees die. Hardest hit is Westlands, the biggest irrigated region in the country, where much of the nation's fruit, nuts and produce are grown. This year, farmers have been told they are getting only a small fraction of the water they need.
And so a few weeks ago, Ty and Janet Lompa were doing the unthinkable: cutting down 110 acres of walnut orchards. That's roughly 10,000 trees and a third of their entire acreage.
Ty Lompa helped plant many of these trees with his father, and they used to water the orchard with flood irrigation from the project built by the federal government. But when water started to become an issue, "we immediately switched over to micro-irrigation," says Lompa. "So we have absolutely no runoff."
But the Lompas' farm relied entirely on federal water — they have no groundwater of their own. They can keep part of their orchard alive with water they carried over from last year, but the rest can't be saved. You can't leave trees in the field and just let 'em die," Ty Lompa says. "You're gonna get bugs, you're gonna get disease, so they have to come down." The Lompas are furious because they blame government, not nature, for the death of their trees. And Janet Lompa tells her four children that "the politicians gave the water all to the fish" when they ask why there's no water.
Politics Takes Control. California gets its water from a huge estuary called the Delta, where two big rivers join in the center
Farmers throughout this region echo the sentiment that politics, not the drought, is the problem. So much water was being pumped out of the Delta that a tiny smelt there, an endangered species, is disappearing. So late last year, a federal judge ruled that the amount of water being delivered to the south had to be sharply cut back.
In April, in a sweltering tin shed in the middle of the Westland's water district, about 200 farmers gathered to hear what Tom Birmingham had to say about the crisis. Birmingham is the executive director of the irrigation district. Yes, the drought is a problem, he says, but he believes the much bigger problem is that court ruling. "Since mid-February, as a result of that biological opinion, we've lost approximately 300,000 acre-feet of water. It's floated out the Golden Gate."
That means it was given to the smelt and taken from thousands of people who have built their lives around feeding our nation.
A SOLUTION. California’s representatives and Senators need only design and bring to the Democratic controlled Congress legislation that will serve to over-rule the Federal Judge who favors the tiny smelt over the men, women, and children of the Central Valley. But Barbara Boxer and her colleagues are too busy with “Cap and Trade”; “Obama-Care” and “Global warming” to care about ordinary people and their efforts to feed their families. Maybe even (God Forbid) buy a few Christmas presents for their kids.
Merry Christmas, Senator. Hopefully some constituent will give you a Bible for Christmas; maybe you will even read it.
Thursday, December 24, 2009
Learn From The Past
LEARN FROM THE PAST—ARM THE AFGHANS[1]
President Obama’s long awaited strategy for Afghanistan rests on three premises: That victory in Afghanistan is fundamental to U.S. National Security because we must deprive Al Qaeda of that operating base; that defeating the Taliban requires a significant build-up of U.S. Forces; and that in addition to establishing security, the U.S. must create good governance by “fixing” the government in Kabul, making it more effective, less corrupt and able to extend its influence into the provinces. All three premises are incorrect.
Defeating Al Qaeda is not matter of geography and driving its leaders out of Afghanistan, assuming we can, will not make us safe. To think otherwise means to not understand asymmetrical warfare. This is a large and messy planet; there will always be some chaotic corner where terrorists can set up camp. Their message has to stop resonating, potential recruits have to lose interest, communities have to turn against them, and their ideology has to fade into obscurity. That, and not control of geographic terrain is what being safe looks like.
(To be continued on December 26, 2009)